Elite subscription
EUR 3.99 trial, then EUR 19.99 / month
Recurring subscription
- Unlimited match analyses
- Full probability breakdowns
- All supported leagues
We have moved to a clearer, more subscriber-friendly domain: MatchProbs.com. The platform, accounts, and football probability engine remain the same — only the public brand and domain are changing.
Existing users can log in with the same email and password at MatchProbs.com.
Go to MatchProbsThe model runs the analysis. You get the report.
Stop guessing. MatchProbs shows you the probabilities and deeper context behind each match—helping you spot potential value, understand the risk, and make better-informed decisions.
Estimates, not guarantees. Probability reports are statistical outputs — they describe likelihoods, not outcomes.
Today's public model analysis — rendered exactly as subscribers see it, not a mock-up.
One report per match — built from the model's probability outputs and the context around them.
Home, Draw and Away, plus goals over/under, both teams to score, corners, cards and fouls — expressed as probabilities, not tips.
Match importance, head-to-head, referee, injury and absence data — shown when reliably available.
Cross-league analysis for UEFA club competitions, comparing sides from different domestic leagues.
Every analysis is generated on demand from the latest available data — there is no stale cached output.
MatchProbs combines a detailed algorithmic probability model with agent-assisted analysis and reliable data sources, along with additional match-specific data points. Relevant extra information can sometimes meaningfully change how a match should be read — and the report shows you when it does. Not every factor affects every match, and additional context does not automatically change the published probabilities.
Brier score measures the quality of probability forecasts by comparing published probabilities with actual outcomes. Lower is better.
A well-calibrated model means a stated 80% probability resolves close to 80% of the time across many comparable fixtures. MatchProbs tracks Brier scores over time; we don't claim a specific accuracy level.
Independent analysis. MatchProbs has no ties to bookmakers, affiliate programs, or odds providers.
Domestic leagues across Europe, UEFA club competitions, selected second divisions and international windows. Fixture availability varies by matchday — the live, up-to-date list is always on the leagues page.
Start with the 3-day trial. Continue only if MatchProbs improves how you analyze football.
Subscription grants access to analytical outputs only. Past model performance does not guarantee future accuracy.
Subscription grants access to analytical outputs only. Past model performance does not guarantee future accuracy.
From two team names to a full match intelligence report in seconds.
Live squad data, historical results and league tables are aggregated from professional sources. The engine updates continuously — you always analyse the current state.
Each data layer runs through the PFI prediction engine independently. Every layer is dynamically weighted — the output is not an average but a structured synthesis.
You receive a quantified probability distribution per match. Raw data and AI-adjusted ranges from which you draw your own conclusions.
Independent analysis. MatchProbs has no ties to bookmakers, affiliate programs, or odds providers.
Common questions about MatchProbs
Start the 3-day trial, or read today's free public analysis first.
Compare MatchProbs access options for football probability reports, match analysis and supported markets. Sign in to review or manage the plan available to your account.
Subscription grants access to analytical outputs only. Past model performance does not guarantee future accuracy.
Subscription grants access to analytical outputs only. Past model performance does not guarantee future accuracy.
The paid trial automatically converts to the Elite monthly subscription on day 4 unless cancelled before then. You can cancel at any time; access continues until the end of the current billing period.
MatchProbs ("the Service") is a football match probability analysis platform operated by Integrata AI Kft. ("we", "us", "our"), a company registered in Hungary (EU VAT: HU24153841). The Service generates statistical probability estimates for football match outcomes by combining multiple data sources and analytical models.
You must provide a valid email address and create a password to register an account. Each individual may maintain only one account. You are responsible for maintaining the security of your account credentials. You must provide accurate information and keep it up to date. We reserve the right to suspend or terminate accounts that violate these terms.
All payments are processed through Stripe and denominated in Euros (EUR). Subscriptions auto-renew at the end of each billing period unless cancelled. You may cancel at any time; access continues until the end of the current billing period. Refunds are handled on a case-by-case basis.
The trial period is 3 days at a cost of EUR 3.99. During the trial, you have access to 5 match analyses per day. On day 4, your subscription automatically converts to the Elite plan at EUR 19.99 per month unless you cancel before then. Cancellation during the trial retains your access until the trial period expires. By starting the Service immediately upon payment, you expressly request immediate performance of the contract and acknowledge that you lose your statutory 14-day right of withdrawal under EU Directive 2011/83 once the digital service has been provided.
The Service is for personal, non-commercial use only. You may not redistribute, resell, or publicly display MatchProbs outputs for commercial purposes. Automated scraping, bulk data extraction, or programmatic access outside of provided interfaces is prohibited. You may not attempt to reverse-engineer the analysis engine or its underlying models.
The PFI engine, its output format, user interface, and underlying analytical models are the intellectual property of Integrata AI Kft. You may use the outputs for personal analysis. You do not acquire any ownership rights to the outputs or the methods used to generate them.
MatchProbs outputs are probabilistic estimates based on available data. They are not guarantees of any outcome. We make no representations about the accuracy or reliability of predictions for any specific match. You acknowledge that football outcomes are inherently uncertain and that no statistical model can predict them with certainty. We are not liable for any losses — financial or otherwise — arising from use of the Service or reliance on its outputs.
We may suspend or terminate your account at our discretion if we determine that you have violated these terms, engaged in abuse of the Service, or used the Service in a manner that is harmful to other users or to our operations. In cases of termination for cause, no refund is owed.
These terms are governed by the laws of Hungary. Any disputes arising from these terms or use of the Service shall be resolved in the courts of Hungary.
We may update these terms from time to time. Material changes will be communicated via email to the address associated with your account. Continued use of the Service after changes take effect constitutes acceptance of the updated terms.
The data controller for personal data processed through MatchProbs is Integrata AI Kft., a company registered in Hungary (EU VAT: HU24153841). For privacy-related inquiries, contact privacy@pfisport.com.
We process your data on the following bases under the GDPR:
We share data with the following third parties, solely for the purposes described:
Under the GDPR, you have the right to:
To exercise any of these rights, email privacy@pfisport.com.
MatchProbs uses localStorage to store your authentication token and your analytics-consent choice. With your consent, MatchProbs uses Microsoft Clarity for usability analytics, including heatmaps and session-interaction analysis. Clarity analytics activates only after consent, advertising consent remains disabled, and you can withdraw consent through Cookie settings.
MatchProbs is a probability calculation algorithm. The Service generates statistical analyses and probability estimates from football match data, for informational purposes only.
MatchProbs does not provide advice of any kind. Content displayed on the platform does not constitute a professional, financial, or any other decision-making recommendation.
Predictions displayed are probabilistic estimates, not guarantees. A 90% probability still means the other outcome occurs roughly 1 in 10 times. No statistical model can eliminate the fundamental uncertainty of sporting events.
Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Calibration metrics reflect performance across large samples and do not guarantee the accuracy of individual predictions or future model performance.
MatchProbs makes no express or implied warranty regarding the output of the Service. This includes, but is not limited to, fitness for a particular purpose, data accuracy, completeness, or currency.
The user utilizes the Service output at their own discretion and own responsibility. MatchProbs does not control or influence what decisions the user makes based on the information.
MatchProbs accepts no liability for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, or special damages arising from use of the Service or reliance on the information displayed.
MatchProbs is an independent statistical analysis service. We have no business, intermediary, or partner relationship with any third party that could profit from the displayed data.
By using MatchProbs, you acknowledge that you have read and understood this disclaimer and accept that MatchProbs is not responsible for any decisions you make based on the information provided by the Service.
MatchProbs sells digital football probability-analysis access. This page explains how refund and withdrawal requests are handled for paid digital access.
Paid digital access may begin after purchase, account activation, or when the relevant report becomes available, depending on the product. Once digital access has started, refund and withdrawal rights may be limited under applicable law.
If paid digital access has not started, contact support to request cancellation or withdrawal review.
Refunds for duplicate payments, technical payment errors, or legally required refunds may be reviewed. Contact support@matchprobs.com with your account email and the Stripe receipt or payment reference.
MatchProbs probability analysis is not a betting guarantee and no result is guaranteed. Dissatisfaction with a probability outcome is not a basis for a refund.
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Check your email to verify your account. You can browse the plans below, but analyzing fixtures requires a verified email.
Recurring subscription